By Adam Pagnucco.
Part One listed Will Jawando’s assets and liabilities. Part Two looked at Andrew Friedson. Part Three examined Evan Glass. Part Four recited a timeline of key events in the election cycle.
Now it’s time to start profiling the precinct results of the three council members who ran for executive. Let’s start with the Democratic primary winner, Council Member Will Jawando.
The chart below shows Jawando’s percentage of the primary vote by state legislative and county council district. Jawando finished first in districts represented by red bars and second in districts represented by orange bars.
Jawando finished first in five of seven council districts and six of nine state legislative districts. His two best districts were State District 20, home of super-progressive Downtown Silver Spring and Takoma Park, and Council District 5, represented by his foremost ally, Council Member Kristin Mink. This was a great performance occurring despite the fact that seven of the county’s nine State Senators endorsed Andrew Friedson and mailed on his behalf. Also of note is the fact that Jawando won council districts 2, 6 and 7 despite the endorsements by their council members of one of his rivals.
Now let’s look at Jawando’s performance by region and local area. See my methodology post for definitions. Again, Jawando finished first in areas represented by red bars and second in districts represented by orange bars.
Jawando finished first in Downtown Silver Spring, Takoma Park and the Route 29 corridor just as he did in 2022. But he added Upcounty areas including Clarksburg, Germantown, Montgomery Village and Boyds along with the Georgia Avenue corridor to post a true countywide performance.
To me, the most interesting result here is that Jawando outpolled Friedson in Chevy Chase, a key area in the latter’s council district, by 37.4% to 35.8%. This is connected to a post I wrote last October about Friedson’s position in his district and I will look at this more when I get to Friedson’s precinct results.
Now let’s look at Jawando’s results in the 25 precincts with the highest population percentage of Asian, Black, Latino and White residents. My methodology post contains information on where these precincts are located.
Jawando won a majority of the vote in heavily Black precincts and he earned a big plurality in heavily Latino precincts. He finished second in precincts with high White and Asian percentages. This demonstrates the role of race in MoCo politics.
We will have more on which factors were statistically associated with Jawando’s performance next.